Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.037222 0.043334 0.050132 0.058251 0.067687 0.078312 0.091186
2025-11-16 0.027299 0.035170 0.044834 0.057576 0.073947 0.094290 0.121526
2025-11-23 0.021489 0.029911 0.041066 0.056929 0.078929 0.108411 0.151011
2025-11-30 0.018146 0.026911 0.039266 0.057956 0.085559 0.124911 0.185448
2025-12-07 0.015260 0.023904 0.036756 0.057267 0.089249 0.137341 0.215431
2025-12-14 0.012844 0.021125 0.034037 0.055650 0.091016 0.146787 0.241820
2025-12-21 0.010959 0.018842 0.031677 0.054114 0.092480 0.155657 0.268140
2025-12-28 0.009922 0.017771 0.031076 0.055285 0.098399 0.172295 0.309315
2026-01-04 0.008909 0.016581 0.030079 0.055577 0.102745 0.186666 0.348296
2026-01-11 0.008031 0.015495 0.029098 0.055717 0.106750 0.200802 0.388538
2026-01-18 0.007358 0.014689 0.028504 0.056458 0.111898 0.217538 0.435680
2026-01-25 0.006849 0.014125 0.028279 0.057848 0.118417 0.237559 0.491670
2026-02-01 0.006006 0.012797 0.026432 0.055839 0.118054 0.244385 0.522683
2026-02-08 0.005442 0.011966 0.025480 0.055542 0.121176 0.258636 0.571138
2026-02-15 0.004924 0.011162 0.024474 0.054987 0.123651 0.271812 0.619026
2026-02-22 0.004597 0.010733 0.024206 0.055992 0.129644 0.293199 0.687875
2026-03-01 0.004178 0.010035 0.023256 0.055330 0.131773 0.306303 0.739542
2026-03-08 0.003744 0.009243 0.021993 0.053768 0.131595 0.314118 0.779774
2026-03-15 0.003365 0.008533 0.020829 0.052285 0.131397 0.321833 0.820758
2026-03-22 0.003185 0.008287 0.020739 0.053416 0.137748 0.345966 0.905793
2026-03-29 0.002972 0.007930 0.020333 0.053698 0.141995 0.365450 0.981577
2026-04-05 0.002770 0.007577 0.019893 0.053833 0.145876 0.384486 1.058766
2026-04-12 0.002615 0.007326 0.019683 0.054549 0.151390 0.408408 1.152354